Pensions & Finance
August 9, 2025

Risk Management in Retirement

Understand the key risks that can erode pension income over time and how to structure withdrawals to manage them.

Risk Management in Retirement

Once you reach retirement, it’s easy to think the hard work is done. But in many ways, managing risk becomes more important —because you may now rely on a fixed pot of money to last 25–35+ years.

Three major risks can derail even awell-funded pension plan:

  • Longevity risk: Outliving your money
  • Inflation risk: Your money losing value     over time
  • Withdrawal risk: Taking too much, too     soon

1. Longevity Risk: You Might Live Longer Than You Think

According to the ONS, a healthy 65-year-old today has a roughly 1-in-4 chance of living to 95.

T15.1 – Longevity Probabilities by Age and Gender
AgeChance of Living to 90Chance of Living to 95
65 (male)~34%~17%
65 (female)~46%~27%

This matters because:

  • Your money needs to last longer
  • You might face more care costs
  • You need strategies that can flex with     age

2. Inflation Risk: Silent, but Powerful

Inflation doesn’t feel dramatic in any given year — but over a long retirement, it adds up.

T15.2 – Impact of Inflation Over 20 Years
Inflation RateValue of £1,000 after 20 years
2%£672
3%£553
4%£456

Even at 2–3%per year, a fixed pension income can lose 30–45% of its value in real terms.

Tip: Avoid relying solely on fixed-income sources unless they are inflation-linked.

3. Withdrawal Rate Risk: Don’t Spend Too Fast

The classic 4% rule (withdraw 4% of your pot per year) may not always be appropriate — especially in today’s low-yield, high-volatility world.

T15.3 – Withdrawal Rate Risk
StrategyRisk of Running Out (30 yrs)Notes
3.0% withdrawalLowConservative approach
4.0% withdrawalModerateHistorically sustainable
5.0% withdrawalHighRisky unless short life expectancy

Flexibilityis key: You might need to adjust withdrawals in bad years, or build in a buffer.

 

4. Managing the Big Three Risks

Tactics to improve resilience:

·     Use a bucket strategy (short, medium, long-term pots)

·     Delay drawdown where possible

·     Prioritise guaranteed income (e.g. State Pension, annuities)

·     Keep some growth assets to outpace inflation

·     Review plan yearly

T15.4 – Retirement Risk Summary and Mitigation
Risk TypeWhat It MeansWays to Manage
Longevity RiskLiving longer than expectedAnnuities, State Pension, drawdown controls
Inflation RiskMoney loses value over timeInflation-linked income, growth investments
Withdrawal RiskSpending too much, too soonConservative drawdown, flex strategies

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